When Farmers Become Casualties of Low Tariffs

“It’s all political games!”

This was the near-universal response whenever I raised the government’s rice trade policies during my visit to Mindanao in the southern Philippines this past April. Those I spoke with ranged from mayors and government agricultural extension officers to ordinary smallholder farmers whose livelihoods depend on the land.

Indeed, in the months leading up to the official start of the Philippine midterm elections on 12 May, theatrical campaigning was rampant, with much of it centred on the country’s staple food: rice.

In April, for instance, the Department of Agriculture announced a pilot programme to sell subsidised rice at 20 pesos per kilogram (equivalent to RMB 2.62). Yet the elections commission swiftly halted the initiative to safeguard electoral fairness.

At 20 pesos a kilogram, the price is less than half the prevailing market rate for rice in the Philippines. The move was clearly designed to placate public frustration over soaring food prices—a reaction understandable given that the country had declared a food security emergency earlier in the year over the exact same issue. Though the scheme appeared to offer relief to ordinary households, it was swiftly dismissed as a political stunt by rival factions, laying bare a far deeper food security crisis.

● On 23 April, the Marcos Jr. administration announced a pilot scheme to supply rice at 20 pesos per kilogram. Image source: Manila Bulletin Business
Looking further back, the situation dates to 2019. Twenty-four years after joining the World Trade Organization, the Philippines was compelled by its accession commitments to end trade protection for domestic rice.

The Duterte administration enacted the Rice Tariffication Law, abolishing import quotas and replacing them with a tariff system. This marked the moment the Philippines’ last agricultural product shielded by import quotas was fully drawn into the global market.

The government also claimed that the legislation would lower domestic rice prices and that tariff revenues would be reinvested to modernise agriculture and benefit farmers.

Since then, the Philippines has imported over three million tonnes of rice annually from countries such as Vietnam, Thailand, and Pakistan.

Yet, lower tariffs and a more “free” international food trade have failed to benefit the Philippine people.

In 2023, this tropical archipelago, renowned for its rice cultivation, suddenly became the world’s largest rice importer. Its import volume surpassed China’s for the first time, and its rice self-sufficiency ratio has fallen below 80% for two consecutive years.

In September of that year, Philippine rice prices surged by 17.9%, completely undermining the government’s pledge to keep food inflation at 4%. However, farmgate purchase prices failed to rise. Instead, price volatility driven by imported rice has made smallholder farmers in the Philippines the primary victims.

I. Low Grain Prices Harm Farmers

“Recently, the farmgate price for paddy has fallen from 20 pesos last year to 14 pesos per kilogram (equivalent to RMB 1.83/kg).” The moment rice prices are mentioned, agricultural technician Robin immediately frowns. On 4 April, representing the City of Kabacan, he hosted a visit from the Farmer Seed Network and Foodthink.

Located in south-central Mindanao, Kabacan City enjoys a tropical maritime climate and sits roughly a three-hour drive from Davao, the island’s largest city. Characterised by gently rolling terrain and vast expanses of rice paddies, it is widely regarded as the local breadbasket. Robin has served with the Kabacan City government for over a decade. In addition to overseeing rice value chain analysis, he also cultivates his own family farm of roughly 1.9 hectares (over seven mu).

● The Farmers Seed Network, together with fellow farmers, experts and Foodthink, visit the Kabacan local government office. Robin, in the green short-sleeved shirt, is on the far left in the back row.

Last year, Robin harvested 47 sacks of rice, totalling just over 3 tonnes. He kept 18 sacks for household consumption and sold the remaining 29 to the National Food Authority. After deducting costs for agricultural inputs, machinery and labour, his net profit was 19,000 pesos, equivalent to 2,490 yuan. Should purchase prices continue to slide, Robin stands to lose at least a quarter of his income from rice sales this year.

The situation is even more precarious for smallholder farmers who rely on the land and lack any other steady source of income. As early as 2020—just a year after the passage of the Rice Tariffication Law—the non-governmental organisation Free Farmers Coalition estimated that falling rice purchase prices had cost Filipino farmers 5.2 billion yuan.

Low prices have dampened farmers’ enthusiasm for planting. To safeguard rice production, the provincial government of Cotabato, where Kabacan is located, began distributing free fertiliser in February 2025. The aim was to lower production costs and help farmers boost yields, thereby offsetting fluctuations in market prices.

This approach mirrors the underlying logic of the Rice Tariffication Law.

● A 2019 Q&A guide on the Rice Tariffication Law from the Philippine Department of Agriculture, with a cover painting an optimistic picture of higher incomes and greater yields for farmers. Image source: Philippine Department of Agriculture official website

In 2019, the Philippine government established the Rice Competitiveness Enhancement Fund using revenue from rice import tariffs, earmarking 10 billion pesos (around 1.3 billion yuan) annually to modernise domestic rice farming and boost its competitiveness. Half of this allocation was designated for agricultural machinery subsidies. However, according to officials within the Department of Agriculture, much of the machinery distributed proved unsuitable for local conditions and was left to gather dust in warehouses.

Other government initiatives included seed distribution, access to low-interest loans, training programmes, and even direct cash handouts to farmers. In 2023, reportedly 6,558 rice farmers on Negros Island in northern Mindanao each received 5,000 pesos (roughly 654 yuan).

I asked Robin whether he had benefited from these policies.

“If you ask me, madam, I have no desire for charity handouts,” he replied politely and cautiously, making it clear that this was his personal view and not an official government stance. “What we truly need is a stable purchase price.”

● Kuyabang Village, Kabacan City, with the rice paddies flooded last year visible in the distance.
In recent years, increasingly frequent climate disasters have made rice cultivation even more difficult. Between 2015 and 2016, the El Niño phenomenon triggered a prolonged drought across the Philippines, causing crop losses worth up to 2.35 billion yuan, with Mindanao island among the hardest-hit areas.

Cabakan City, located in the Mindanao river basin, must contend with both drought and flooding. The area is crisscrossed by waterways and sits on low-lying ground, making it perennially vulnerable to floods. According to reports, the floods last July affected 5,185 households and more than 15,000 mu of agricultural land in Cabakan.

After our visit to the municipal hall, Robin escorted us to Barangay Cuyapon, a village under the city’s jurisdiction. He explained that the flooded 15,000 mu of land included parts of Cuyapon and neighbouring villages. The waterlogged rice paddies saw their yields plummet, leaving local officials scratching their heads.

II. Soaring Prices for Essentials: Who Reaps the Profits?

Standing on the ridge between the fields, Robin explained to me: “Ma’am, do you know about the local term ‘unli rice’?”

I shook my head. Robin clarified that ‘unli’ is short for the English word ‘unlimited’, so ‘unli rice’ simply means unlimited rice. “When we eat rice at a restaurant, we tend to eat more than we do at home, just to make sure we get our money’s worth. Filipinos simply love rice too much; we never tire of having it with every single meal.”

● A grilled chicken set meal at a Philippine restaurant, served with two mounds of rice.

Data shows that in 2023, the Philippines recorded a per capita rice consumption of 151.3 kg, more than double the figure for China in the same period. Scholars such as Huang Zongzhi argue that since the 1980s, China has undergone an ‘implicit agricultural revolution’, directly driven by a shift in dietary patterns: as incomes rose, the ratio of grain, vegetable, and meat consumption among Chinese residents shifted from 8:1:1 to 4:3:3. Put simply, people are eating less staple food.

Yet in the Philippines, rice remains the go-to staple for filling bellies. According to the Department of Agriculture, spending on rice accounts for nearly 10 per cent of a Philippine household’s budget, a figure that can reach 20 per cent for impoverished families.

A report by the Philippine Rice Research Institute (PhilRice) notes that those in lower-income brackets consume 7.1 kg more rice per person annually than their wealthier counterparts, while rural residents eat 11.47 kg more than those in urban areas. The poorer Filipinos are, the more indispensable rice becomes to them—a reality that perhaps reveals the deeper meaning behind ‘unli rice’.

●‘Premium’ and ‘budget’ rice in a supermarket in Davao City, Mindanao, with the former consistently priced at over 70 pesos per kilogram.
As a vital barometer of public welfare, rice prices remain an inescapable agenda for every Filipino politician. In June 2024, the Marcos Jr. administration slashed the rice tariff from 35% to 15%, continuing to encourage imports, and pledged to eventually stabilise prices at 29 pesos per kilogram (equivalent to 3.8 yuan per kilogram).

The trajectory of events proved entirely contrary to the government’s projections. By January this year, the average price of both imported and locally grown rice across Metro Manila had surpassed 55 pesos per kilogram (equivalent to 7.2 yuan per kilogram). The Department of Agriculture declared a state of emergency on food security, pledged to release rice from national reserves into the market, and enacted a price cap on imported rice.

Why have prices risen rather than fallen despite the influx of supply? The conventional economic supply-and-demand curve clearly fails to account for the complexities of reality.

Intermediaries serve as a vital bridge between farmers and consumers, yet they also operate as market entities driven to profit from rice trading. The Farmers Freedom Federation (FFF) points out that as profit margins in wholesale and retail steadily widen, it is this very group that stands as the primary beneficiary of the Rice Tariffication Law, pocketing the lion’s share of gains from cheap imported rice.

In February this year, a fraud case came to light in Bulacan province, adjacent to Manila, where old, stored rice was mixed with imported grains and sold under labels claiming to be fresh harvests.

Coupled with a lack of regulatory oversight, collusion between political and business interests has further fuelled market chaos. In February 2024, the National Food Authority (NFA) offloaded stocks that should have served as national reserves to private firms at just 25 pesos per kilogram. When the scandal broke, over a hundred officials were suspended. Recurrences of such misconduct have long cemented the NFA’s reputation as one of the most corrupt government agencies in the Philippines.

III. Food Security and Food Sovereignty

Six years on, the Rice Tariffication Law has failed to deliver on its promise of benefiting consumers and farmers alike. Instead, the steadily falling tariffs have left both groups worse off, while importers have reaped the profits. This explains why opposition to the liberalisation of the rice trade has persisted within Philippine civil society. Former congressman and social activist Walden Bello stands as one of its most steadfast critics.

Bello argues that the escalating liberalisation of the rice trade is the root cause of the food crisis. He views the Rice Tariffication Law as a death sentence for the Philippine rice sector, given that domestic paddy simply cannot compete on a level playing field with heavily subsidised imports from Vietnam and Thailand. Left to continue unchecked, this trajectory will deal a devastating blow to smallholder farmers.

He calls on the Philippine government to reopen relevant trade negotiations to curb the dumping of foreign agricultural produce. Simultaneously, he urges the continued deepening of land reform, increased investment in the agricultural sector, and improvements to rural infrastructure such as irrigation and road networks, in order to genuinely sustain smallholder farmers’ incentive to farm.

● Protests in February 2023 by Philippine farmers and social organisations opposing the Rice Tariffication Law and trade liberalisation, and calling for support for local agricultural production. Photo: KMP

Long before the policy shift, numerous Philippine rural development organisations had already begun empowering smallholder farmers, such as the Southeast Asian Regional Initiative for Community Empowerment (SEARICE).

Since its founding in 1977, SEARICE has supported farmers in collecting farmer-saved seeds, breeding new varieties, and facilitating the exchange of agroecological farming practices. By reducing reliance on commercial seeds and agricultural inputs, the organisation helps farmers fundamentally reclaim control over their own production.

On 8 April, we had the pleasure of visiting Eddie Sasi, a farmer seed breeder who has partnered with SEARICE for 22 years. At 65, Eddie and his family reside in the rural municipality of President Roxas on Mindanao, managing around two hectares of rice paddy without any chemical inputs. His rice fields, fruit trees, vegetable patches, and a fish pond are thoughtfully arranged to create a self-contained, cyclical ecosystem.

● Eddie chatting with us at his front door.

“Once the summer fruit is ready, come round and eat your fill for free! But if you want to take any home, I’ll have to charge you.” As the conversation grew more animated, Eddie warmly invited us. Diversified farming across 30 mu (roughly two hectares) supplies his family with healthy food, eliminating the need to buy produce from outside while allowing them to sell surplus to neighbours. This degree of food self-sufficiency has left his peers in the movement deeply envious.

Yet this is far from the norm for smallholders across the Philippines. Take rice: the country is home to 1.1 million small-scale rice farmers and agricultural workers tending plots of 15 mu (just over one hectare) or less. Most of them are “net consumers” of rice. As Robin explained to me, some farmers opt for high-yield varieties, selling their new crop at harvest only to return to the market to buy rice with a better flavour. For these growers, the price volatility over the past year has been little short of devastating.

For Eddie, choosing which rice variety to grow is not a binary decision. Training at SEARICE’s field school has equipped him with solid breeding skills. Whether he is aiming for high yield, superior taste, early maturation, or disease resistance, he can experiment with his own trait combinations, without having to rely on commercial varieties.

SEARICE’s seed bank, located just a few kilometres away, proves invaluable. It holds over 800 traditional rice varieties alongside more than 300 new ones developed by farmer-breeders. Any collaborating farmer can apply to trial and cross-breed with these seeds, provided there is a need. This year, Eddie’s farm is testing eleven upland rice varieties to assess their adaptability. If they show strong growth, they will be rolled out for wider cultivation or further breeding.

● Top: Eddie showing us the rice varieties undergoing adaptability trials. Bottom: SEARICE’s seed bank.
Breeding his own seeds has saved him a considerable portion of his production costs. Purchasing seeds from the market for his 11-mu (approximately 1.8 acres) rice fields would cost 3,600 pesos (around RMB 471), nearly a tenth of his rice sales income from last year.

The high yields from his organic farming are another source of pride for Eddie. Twenty-five years into his transition, his farm reliably produces 60 sacks of rough rice each year. This equates to a yield of 346.5 kg per mu (roughly 2.1 tonnes per hectare), more than 65 kg per mu above the Philippine average.

Today, Eddie also acts as a farmer mentor within the SEARICE network. Through field schools, he provides other growers with training in seed breeding and cultivation techniques, while inspiring neighbouring villagers to confidently transition towards agroecological practices.

4

Before the next food crisis hits

Over the past two months, retail rice prices in the Philippines have softened slightly compared to the start of the year, yet the debate surrounding the Rice Tariffication Law continues.

In a position paper released in February, the non-governmental organisation “MASIPAG (Philippine Farmers and Scientists Development Alliance)” characterised the Department of Agriculture’s series of interventions as “band-aid” fixes. They warn that the food security emergency could be exploited for political manipulation; while releasing buffer stocks might relieve immediate pressure, it fails to address the underlying causes of the crisis.

MASIPAG maintains that the only way forward is to support farmer-led agroecological practices. Put simply, this means championing more smallholders like Eddie and restoring their autonomy over agricultural inputs. Only through this approach can a triple win be achieved: sustainable production, decent incomes for farmers, and reliable food access for consumers.

The results of the midterm elections will be announced shortly, and both the national and local governments in the Philippines will face another wave of political reshuffling. Will the Philippine government and society be prepared before the next rice crisis strikes?

References

https://opinion.inquirer.net/178739/unli-rice-and-why-it-remains-the-center-of-every-filipino-meal

https://opinion.inquirer.net/104928/unli-rice-rice-trade

https://mb.com.ph/2025/2/20/cotabato-kicks-off-rice-revolution-program

https://content-static.cctvnews.cctv.com/snow-book/index.html?item_id=15231080131644894036&toc_style_id=feeds_default&track_id=55590F08-ED1A-4668-98E5-CBE975E99406_760274555029&share_to=copy_url

https://www.philstar.com/opinion/2015/10/30/1516822/big-plantations-create-big-problems-mindanao

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